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Ice Lounge Media

The US Department of Defense has invested $2.4 million over two years in deepfake detection technology from a startup called Hive AI. It’s the first contract of its kind for the DOD’s Defense Innovation Unit, which accelerates the adoption of new technologies for the US defense sector. Hive AI’s models are capable of detecting AI-generated video, image, and audio content. 

Although deepfakes have been around for the better part of a decade, generative AI has made them easier to create and more realistic-looking than ever before, which makes them ripe for abuse in disinformation campaigns or fraud. Defending against these sorts of threats is now crucial for national security, says Captain Anthony Bustamante, a project manager and cyberwarfare operator for the Defense Innovation Unit.

“This work represents a significant step forward in strengthening our information advantage as we combat sophisticated disinformation campaigns and synthetic-media threats,” says Bustamante. Hive was chosen out of a pool of 36 companies to test its deepfake detection and attribution technology with the DOD. The contract could enable the department to detect and counter AI deception at scale.

Defending against deepfakes is “existential,” says Kevin Guo, Hive AI’s CEO. “This is the evolution of cyberwarfare.”

Hive’s technology has been trained on a large amount of content, some AI-generated and some not. It picks up on signals and patterns in AI-generated content that are invisible to the human eye but can be detected by an AI model. 

“Turns out that every image generated by one of these generators has that sort of pattern in there if you know where to look for it,” says Guo. The Hive team constantly keeps track of new models and updates its technology accordingly. 

The tools and methodologies developed through this initiative have the potential to be adapted for broader use, not only addressing defense-specific challenges but also safeguarding civilian institutions against disinformation, fraud, and deception, the DOD said in a statement.

Hive’s technology provides state-of-the-art performance in detecting AI-generated content, says Siwei Lyu, a professor of computer science and engineering at the University at Buffalo. He was not involved in Hive’s work but has tested its detection tools. 

Ben Zhao, a professor at the University of Chicago, who has also independently evaluated Hive AI’s deepfake technology, agrees but points out that it is far from foolproof. 

“Hive is certainly better than most of the commercial entities and some of the research techniques that we tried, but we also showed that it is not at all hard to circumvent,” Zhao says. The team found that adversaries could tamper with images in a way that bypassed Hive’s detection.

And given the rapid development of generative AI technologies, it is not yet certain how it will fare in real-world scenarios that the defense sector might face, Lyu adds.  

Guo says Hive is making its models available to the DOD so that the department can use the tools offline and on their own devices. This keeps sensitive information from leaking.

But when it comes to protecting national security against sophisticated state actors, off-the-shelf products are not enough, says Zhao: “There’s very little that they can do to make themselves completely robust to unforeseen nation-state-level attacks.” 

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This is today’s edition of The Download, our weekday newsletter that provides a daily dose of what’s going on in the world of technology.

OpenAI’s new defense contract completes its military pivot

At the start of 2024, OpenAI’s rules for how armed forces might use its AI models were unambiguous: it prohibited anyone from using them for “weapons development” or “military and warfare”.

It has slowly softened those restrictions over the course of this year, and now, OpenAI has announced that its technology will be deployed directly on the battlefield. 

The company is partnering with the defense-tech company Anduril, a maker of AI-powered drones, radar systems, and missiles, to help US and allied forces defend against drone attacks. Read our story to understand how, and why, this pivot unfolded.

—James O’Donnell

Would you eat dried microbes? This company hopes so.

What’s new: A company best known for sucking up industrial waste gases is turning its attention to food. LanzaTech, a rising star in the fuel and chemical industries, is joining a growing group of businesses producing microbe-based food as an alternative to plant and animal products.

Why it matters: The global food system is responsible for roughly 25% to 35% of all human-caused greenhouse gas emissions today, and much of that comes from animal agriculture. Alternative food sources could help feed the world while cutting climate pollution. Read the full story.

—Casey Crownhart

To read more about the potential positive effects of alternative meat on the climate, check out the latest edition of The Spark, our weekly climate and energy newsletter. Sign up to receive it in your inbox every Wednesday.

Google DeepMind’s new AI model is the best yet at weather forecasting

Google DeepMind has unveiled an AI model that’s better at predicting the weather than the current best systems.

The new model, dubbed GenCast, is the second AI weather model that Google has launched in just the past few months. In July, it published details of NeuralGCM, a model that combined AI with physics-based methods like those used in existing forecasting tools. That model performed similarly to conventional methods but used less computing power.

GenCast is different, as it relies on AI methods alone. It works sort of like ChatGPT, but instead of predicting the next most likely word in a sentence, it produces the next most likely weather condition. But while its results are impressive, that doesn’t mean the end of conventional meteorology as a field. Read the full story.

—Scott J Mulligan

The must-reads

I’ve combed the internet to find you today’s most fun/important/scary/fascinating stories about technology.

1 Donald Trump has appointed a billionaire astronaut to head up NASA
Jarad Isaacman has been into space twice, and was the first private citizen to carry out a spacewalk. (CBS News)
+ Unsurprisingly, he’s also a close associate of Elon Musk. (Fast Company $)
+ Will the appointment make Musk more amenable to NASA? (Economist $)

2  The price of a single bitcoin has passed $100,000 
It’s a remarkable milestone for the famously volatile cryptocurrency. (NYT $)
+ The industry’s faithful hope Donald Trump will pass crypto-friendly laws. (The Guardian)
+ Congrats, investors. What comes next, though? (FT $)

3 Humane isn’t giving up on its AI pin
Despite few sales, it wants to embed the device in your phone and car. (The Verge)+ The pin made a special appearance in our inaugural AI Hype Index. (MIT Technology Review)

 4 Amazon deliveries are slower to arrive in low-income zip codes
Despite the DC residents paying for the same Prime program as their richer neighbors. (WP $)
+ A lawsuit claims Amazon covered up the real reason for the delays. (Ars Technica)

5 Law enforcement has busted two major crypto laundering networks
Criminals swapped huge sums of cash for crypto across crime networks. (Wired $)
+ Over in Dubai, crypto scams are running rampant. (Bloomberg $)

6 Where it all went wrong for the world’s biggest offshore wind company
Ørsted was riding high on the clean energy wave—until it wasn’t. (FT $)
+ The UK is failing spectacularly to harness wind power properly. (Bloomberg $)
+ What’s next for offshore wind. (MIT Technology Review)

7 OnlyFans has quietly launched in China
Although pornography remains illegal in the country. (CNN)
+ Chinese gamers are using a Steam wallpaper app to get porn past the censors. (MIT Technology Review)

8 We’re getting close to solving a major mystery of the universe
Its biggest galaxies may have been formed by ‘cosmic collisions.’ (The Guardian)
+ The galaxy which used to look like a sombrero…doesn’t any more. (CNN)

9 This winged drone can hop and jump
Making it look a whole lot like a robotic bird. (IEEE Spectrum)
+ What’s next for drones. (MIT Technology Review)

10 Why X had a meltdown over a woman’s PhD thesis
Go outside and touch some grass, all of you. (Vox)

Quote of the day

“We never doubted. We never wavered. And we will never stop building.”

—Kris Marszalek, chief executive of exchange Crypto.com, celebrates bitcoin’s colossal surge to a $100,000 valuation for a single coin in a post on X.

The big story

What the future holds for those born today

August 2024

Happy birthday, baby.

You have been born into an era of intelligent machines. They have watched over you almost since your conception. They let your parents listen in on your tiny heartbeat, track your gestation on an app, and post your sonogram on social media. Well before you were born, you were known to the algorithm.

Your arrival coincided with the 125th anniversary of this magazine. With a bit of luck and the right genes, you might see the next 125 years. How will you and the next generation of machines grow up together? We asked more than a dozen experts to imagine your future. Read what they prophesied.

—Kara Platoni

We can still have nice things

A place for comfort, fun and distraction to brighten up your day. (Got any ideas? Drop me a line or tweet ’em at me.)

+ If you want the best pizza the world has to offer, you should head to Jersey City (apparently)
+ Thinking of gifting something that’s been previously owned this Christmas? Make sure you conduct these essential checks.
+ What science can tell us about how to combat bullying.
+ Uhoh—honey fraud is on the rise! 🐝

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This article is from The Spark, MIT Technology Review’s weekly climate newsletter. To receive it in your inbox every Wednesday, sign up here.

Last week, we celebrated Thanksgiving here in the US, and I had hearty helpings of ham and turkey alongside my mashed potatoes and green bean casserole.

Meat is often the star on our plates, but our love of animal-based foods is a problem for the climate. Depending on how you count it up, livestock accounts for somewhere between 10% and 20% of all greenhouse gas emissions.

A growing number of alternative foods seek to mimic or replace options that require raising and slaughtering animals. These include plant-based products and newly approved cultivated (or lab-grown) meats. An increasing number of companies are even raising microbes in the lab in the hopes that we’ll add them to the menu, as I covered in a story this week.

But as one of my colleagues always puts it when I tell him about some alternative food product, the key question is, will anyone eat it?

Food might just be one of the trickiest climate problems to solve. Technically, none of us has to be eating any of the highest-emissions foods—like beef—that are worst for the climate. But what we eat is deeply personal, and it’s often tied up with our culture and our social lives. Many people want hamburgers at a barbecue and nice steak dinners. 

The challenge of our food system’s climate impact is only getting more tricky: richer countries tend to eat more meat, and so as populations grow and the standard of living rises around the world, we’re going to see emissions from livestock production rise, too.

In an effort to combat that trend, alternative food products aim to deliver foods similar to the ones we know and love with less harmful effects on the climate. Plant-based options like those from Beyond Meat and Impossible Foods have exploded in recent years, finding their way into supermarkets and even onto the menus of major fast-food brands like Burger King.

The problem is, a lot of alternative products have been struggling lately. Unit sales of meat alternatives in the US were down by 26% between 2021 and 2023, and fewer households are buying plant-based alternative meat options, according to a report from the Good Food Institute. Consumers say that alternatives still aren’t up to par on taste and price, two key factors that determine what people decide to eat.

So companies are racing to invent better products. I’ve spent a lot of time covering cultivated (or lab-grown) meats. To make these products, animal cells are grown in the lab and processed into things like chicken nuggets. Two companies got approval to sell cultivated chicken in the US in 2023, and we’ve seen both offer their products in limited runs at high-end restaurants.

But these products are still not quite the same thing as the meat we’re used to. When I tried a burger that contained cells grown in a lab, it was similar to plant-based ones that have a softer texture than I’m used to. Chicken from Upside Foods, served at a Michelin-starred restaurant, had similar textural differences. And these products are still only available at very small scales, if at all, and they’re expensive. 

microbial protein powder on a tabletop

LANZATECH

One key issue that comes up again and again as I report on these new products is what to call them. The industry strongly prefers cultivated, not “lab-grown.” Probably better to not remind people that they’re eating something grown in vats in a laboratory. As the companies that make these products often point out, we don’t typically use this sort of language for the animal-based products we’re used to. You’d never find the phrase “slaughtered baby cow” on a menu, just “veal.”

I was thinking about this issue of language and marketing again recently as I reported a story about a company looking to grow bacteria, dry it, and sell it to feed animals or people. I found myself a little weirded out by the prospect of dried microbe powder finding its way into my diet. But I don’t have a problem drinking wine or eating cheese, two products that rely on microbes and a fermentation process to exist.

Maybe LanzaTech will come up with a marketing plan that makes their microbe powder  an easy addition to my Thanksgiving table. Ultimately though, no matter how well they’re marketed, I’m not sure how much we can rely on alternative products to solve the climate challenge that is our food system. 

As is often the case when it comes to addressing climate change, we’re going to need not only some behavioral changes, but also technical solutions like cattle burp pills and new fertilizer options, as well as policy to help nudge our food system in the right direction. 


Now read the rest of The Spark

Related reading

A new crop of biotech startups is looking to grow food out of thin air. Read more about a few of the leading businesses in this story from earlier this fall.

Cultivated meat products are made with animal cells grown in the lab. Last year, I covered what we know about what those products mean for climate change.  

We’re expecting too much from our fake meat products. Here’s how my colleague James Temple stopped worrying and learned to love alternatives

Rumin8 and Pivot Bio, two of our Climate Tech Companies to Watch this year, are both working to address emissions from agriculture. 

Keeping up with climate  

China announced it would ban the export to the US of several rare minerals that are crucial in technology like semiconductors. The move follows efforts by the US to shift supply chains away from China. (New York Times)

Donald Trump has pledged to ramp up tariffs on Chinese goods, while other nations around the world have already put such policies in place. (Rest of World)

Australia is on track to meet its 2030 emissions target. The country’s climate pollution is projected to fall more than 42% below 2005 levels by the end of the decade. (Bloomberg)

Talks to form an international plastic treaty fell apart this week. Some countries favored cutting down plastic production, while others, including oil-rich nations, pushed back. (Washington Post)

The US Department of Energy announced a nearly $7 billion loan to Stellantis and Samsung for two battery factories that will supply batteries for EVs. (New York Times)
→ That follows a $6.6 billion loan to Rivian to help the company build a stalled factory in Georgia. (Associated Press)
→ The Biden administration is racing to lock in loans and safeguard them against rollbacks before Donald Trump takes office in January. (E&E News)

California could increase use of ethanol, a move the state says could lower gas prices. But experts warn that expanded use of ethanol made from corn can have negative consequences for climate progress and the environment. (Inside Climate News)

Norway’s government is blocking plans to mine the sea bed. There were plans to begin offering permits in the first half of 2025, and preparations will continue during the suspension. (Reuters)
→ These deep-sea “potatoes” could be the future of mining for battery materials. (MIT Technology Review)

A decade ago, sea surface temperatures in the Pacific shot up in a dramatic marine heat wave. Now, scientists are looking for clues in that event to understand what rising temperatures will mean for the ocean. (New York Times)

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